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Sunday, April 29, 2012

Why Tirupati Tirumala needs Smarter Analytics ?



 (Image source: Indiantourist-spots.blogspot.com)

When 75,000 people visit a temple daily, the logistics of managing such a mass of population becomes a challenge. Tirumala the seven hills at about 880 meters elevation from sea level is a temple dedicated to Lord Venkateshwara, which draws in about 40 Million people annually and is worth around 50,000 crores, making it one of the richest religious places in the world.

In the 30 years that I have been to Tirupati the crowds have swelled and though infrastructure has grown it is not adequate to cover the growth in the devotees. Last week I visited the temple town and was convinced that technology had to be used adequately to solve the mammoth crowd issues that are developing there.
I am mostly concerned about two important issues- Public Safety and Health which incidentally are two very important aspects for any city. 

Public Safety from an impeding stampede has been greatly reduced by the temple authorities by restricting the flow of devotees into the main temple and its sanctum sanctorium. But this does not mean that public safety is not endangered in the waiting queues which are nothing waiting lines blocked by fences and bearded wires. An average wait time in these queues is about 2-3 hours, with no facility for either healthcare or for basic amenities like water. Things become more complicated if one is traveling with children or with senior citizens. In other words this is a disaster waiting to happen.

Secondly once one makes it inside the temple the process is so chaotic that it is a scene from one of the refugee camps in Africa. There is a mad scramble from the devotees who have been kept locked for hours. This is nothing new as the natural instinct of the individual is to break free from the holding cells. The waiting areas themselves have no amenities and lack any facilities that may relax or distract an individual.

Thirdly the surrounding facilities like the ones for tonsure of hair which incidentally generates 6 crores of revenue for the temple is also chaotic and unkempt. The facility again has no proper provision for bath or rest and again can lead to a potential scramble at the temple.
Finally there is a continuous flow of VIPs and VVIPs that visit the temple and the common man is prevented from entering the temple that time due to security reasons. This is probably the biggest reason for the crowd mismanagement at the temple.
Now I am truly surprised why a temple with so much funds under its control is not able to use basic analytics to predict and restrict the rush of devotees to the temple. 
What I propose are simple steps to ensure that such a calamity is avoided for good. And this involves the basic analytics technology which would again depend on historical and predictive analytics data.

Step 1
Look at the historical data for each day and this could be done over the last five years to see how many people visit the temple on each day. This would give the temple authorities some idea as to how many people they expect would visit the temple on any given particular day.  Taking the data from the last five years would help normalize the spike in crowd when one of the special days like Vaikunta Ekadashi fall on any of the days.

Step 2
Look at predictive analytics to see what would be the increase in the number of devotees visiting the temple in the following year. This should take into account the growth in population and the number of people entering the age group of 10 years and above. Also the data should into account any downturn in the economy as the number of visits invariably increases when the economy is in trouble.
This might require some investment in technology. But compared to the simplification and increase in public safety that it would bring about the investment is worth it.

Step 3
All entry to the temple would be through pre booked slots which could be done over phone, SMS or online. On booking the pilgrim would receive a unique number. Once the slot is booked then the pilgrims have to visit the town of Tirupati, which could be used to serve as a base camp. Once the pilgrim enters the base camp and quotes a number he is issued a RFID tag, which is active for 12 hours and once the pilgrim enters the temple the RFID gets deactivated and cannot be used again.
Using this method the authorities can control the number of pilgrims that enter the hills and this would also ensure that the ecological balance of the hills is preserved.

Step 4
All VIP and VVIPs visits be restricted to only few days in the month. And that also to be factored in while issuing the serial numbers to the pilgrims. Also it would work if the temple authorities make special provisions for visits by invalids and other special arrangement cases.  

Now this is just the beginning with each quarter this method could be refined and reapplied leading to a much more smarter ecosystem for the temple, devotees and the authorities.

22 comments:

  1. This is not only an interesting piece, it's certainly a serious issue. Possibly the scholars at a http://casi.ssc.upenn.edu/ or similar can take a deeper dive into this.

    thanks for the thoughts and insight!

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  2. Absolutely Sandeep they need to do something about this and fast. I was there last week and it looks like a disaster waiting to happen.

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  3. This is a very serious situation indeed. I was there couple of weeks ago as well, terrible situation.

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  4. Hey Sandeep

    Absolutely serious situation. Would you know someone at U Penn who would be interested in taking a look at this?

    And thanks for the comment, glad you liked the post...

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  5. Thought provoking post..:-) Well written.

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  6. hope some one who can influence decisions at the temple reads this and does something about it

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  7. Thanks and hopefully there would be some action taken to improve the situation.

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  8. Hi Magiceye

    Its not only the temple authorities, I think we all need to formulate and plan and approach the government with it. After all it is the devotees that are important stakeholders in the temple.

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  9. surprised to find another dentist who also is as concerned. i visit tirumala as often as once a month. i wish you do visit my blog .my take is more spiritual. so the takers are less i guess

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  10. Hi Dr Vishnu

    Yes I am greatly concerned, I have been visiting Tirupati for ages now, but the situation seems to be getting from bad to worse.

    I will definitely visit your blog, though I am not much into spirituality.

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  11. Its a issue to be checked upon..it nice u wrote for it..

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  12. This is really interesting…
    Gurgaonflowerplaza.com

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  13. Hi Ruchi

    Thank you for the comment, this is slowly becoming a very serious issue.

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  14. Interesting. You have analysed in great detail. But I think Tirupathi is till better than Palani and other such temples.

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  15. Hari Sir

    Thank you.

    I agree Tirupati is better than some of the others and that is the reason they have to take a lead and make things more streamlined.

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  16. Hey Vikram -

    Dr. Devesh Kapur is the Director of the Penn's "Center for the Advanced Study of India". He's your best bet.

    This should be a very interesting piece of research CASI may want to pick up.

    If you or IBM has an existing connect, go for it! Otherwise, I can do intros (as an alumni).

    -S

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  17. Hi Sandeep

    That would be phenomenal, if you could get an introduction done and then we might have to look for someone from the Tirupati temple authorities to work with us.

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  18. Dear Sirs
    Why VIP Dharshans .
    Abolish them all.
    In front of the GOD all are same.
    Similary all all Arjitha Sevas have to be abolished.
    In old times these sevas were sold to get income.
    Now the Hundi collections are plenty.
    Thanks
    KGB

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  19. Hi KGB

    I could not more agree with you. Now I think there is no need for special darshanams for the VIPS as we live in a democracy and the rule of kings is long over.

    I think this is a good suggestion but may I ask if a PIL would be a good route to bring thins about?

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  20. Good Analysis ... but all of these plans will get void with the intrusion of politicians, what we are proudly saying the so-called 'DEMOCRACY' is the biggest obstacle to be tackled on. Millions Plans will be wasted, So a Top Down approach is the be the better one here ... Root out all areas of Political indulgence then even a 10th standard chilldren can make a very good plan for managing the crowds.

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  21. Good Comment ...

    www.srivenkatesa.org

    ReplyDelete